Naslov (srp)

Razvoj Republike Srbije u 2018. godini i nakon toga

Autor

Filipović, Milorad
Nikolić, Miroljub

Opis (eng)

Abstract: Statistical data show that the achieved results in the growth and development of Serbia do not give too much hope for optimism and great expectations for the next period. In spite of good results in achieving macroeconomic stabilization and fiscal consolidation in the past four years, the significant inflow of foreign capital through direct investments and the efforts of the Government of the Republic of Serbia to stimulate faster growth of the national economy with its investment activity, the results are very modest. In the past ten years (since the beginning of the global crisis), Serbia has re- corded one of the lowest GDP growth rates in the re- gion, and lagging behind for the EU countries is not only sustained, but also deepened. The modest GDP growth was accompanied by an increasing gap in relation to the movement of GNI due to the growing role that the productive factors owned by foreign- ers have in the functioning of the Serbian economy. Accordingly, it is evident that Serbia needs a signif- icant change in development policy in the future to focus on structural changes, strengthening the coun- try's innovation and competitiveness and achieving sustainable high growth rates that would allow the state to achieve one of its most important roles in the process of development so-called “Catching-up” with developed countries. However, the crucial and essential question arises: whose responsibility in Serbia is the issue of the development of the national economy? Which institutions and in what way are responsible for preparing and proposing measures of development policy, and do we have any such policy at all? In the existing institutional solutions, there is not a single national institution responsible for the development of the Republic of Serbia at the macro level, but it is about solutions at the partial, regional / local or sectoral level. The paper will provide an analysis of comparative solutions in the field of institutional organization in the field of de - velopment policy with some countries in the region and the EU, and to investigate, so far in the profes- sional and wider public neglected questions about the causes and consequences of the increasing devi- ations between the indicators of GDP and GNI.

Opis (srp)

Apstrakt: Statistički podaci pokazuju da ostvareni rezultati u rastu i razvoju Srbije ne daju preterane nade za optimizam i velika očekivanja za naredni pe- riod. Uprkos dobrim rezultatima u ostvarivanju ma- kroekonomske stabilizacije i fiskalne konsolidacije u prethodne četiri godine, značajnom prilivu inostra- nog kapitala kroz direktne investicije i naporima Vlade Republike Srbije da svojom investicionom ak- tivnošću podstakne brži rast nacionalne ekonomije, rezultati su vrlo skromni. Srbija je u proteklih dese - tak godina (od otpočinjanja svetske krize) zabeležila jednu od najnižih stopa rasta BDP-a u regionu, a zaostajanje za zemljama EU je ne samo održano, već i produbljeno. Skroman rast BDP-a praćen je sve ve- ćim jazom u odnosu na kretanje BND usled sve veće uloge koju proizvodni faktori u vlasništvu stranaca imaju u funkcionisanju privrede Srbije. U skladu sa tim, evidentno je da je Srbiji u narednom periodu potrebna značajna promena razvojne politike kojom bi se u fokus stavile: strukturne promene, jačanje inovativnosti i konkurentnosti zemlje i dostizanje održivih visokih stopa rasta koje bi omogućile da država ostvari jednu od svojih najznačajnijih uloga u procesu razvoja tzv. „catching-up“ sa razvijenim državama. Postavlja se međutim ključno i suštinsko pitanje: čija je odgovornost u Srbiji pitanje razvo- ja nacionalne ekonomije? Koje institucije i na koji način su odgovorne za pripremu i predlaganje mera razvojne politike, te da li mi uopšte imamo ikakvu takvu politiku? U postojećim institucionalnim re- šenjima nema ni jedne nacionalne institucije koja je zadužena za razvoj Republike Srbije na makro nivou, već se radi o rešenjima na parcijalnom, re- gionalnom/lokalnom ili sektorskom nivou. U radu će se dati analiza komparativnih rešenja u oblasti institucionalnog organizovanja po pitanju razvojne politike sa nekim zemljama u regionu i EU, i istraži- ti, do sada u stručnoj i široj javnosti zapostavljena pitanja o uzrocima i posledicama sve većeg odstupa- nja između indikatora BDP i BND.

Jezik

srpski

Datum

2018

Licenca

© All rights reserved

Predmet

Ključne reči: plan, privredni razvoj, bruto društveni proizvod, bruto nacionalni dohodak

Keywords: plan, economic development, gross domestic product, gross national income

Deo kolekcije (1)

o:28218

Ekonomski fakultet