NEW INDUSTRIAL POLICY OF SERBIA: POSSIBILITIES AND LIMITATIONS
Abstract: Numerous factors have contributed to the growing interest in industrial policy. In recent years, industrial policy has been increasingly used as a response to crises. Developed countries of the world strongly intervened in their industries after the global economic crisis in 2008, and it has become much more intense after the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic (with the goal of restarting economic growth). Finally, industrial policy has become a significant instrument for the industrial transition to a green and digital economy. The goal of the new industrial policy of Serbia is to promote structural changes in the industry in favor of the production of goods and services with greater added value, modernization and increasing the role of industry. New industrial policy has become more complex with new goals beyond conventional industrial development and structural changes, such as integration and upgrading into global value chains (GVCs), developing a knowledge-based economy, building sectors related to sustainable development goals and competitive positioning for a new industrial revolution [12, p. 199]. The paper analyzes the effects of state aid in 72 successfully implemented investment projects to attract investment in Serbian industry in the period from 2006 to 2016. Four bootstrap confidence intervals were used: bootstrap-t interval, percentile interval, BCa interval, and ABC interval. The constructed intervals give us information on the assessment of the average number of newly created jobs and average investments in realized projects in the period from 2006 to 2016.
Sažetak: Brojni faktori su doprineli većem interesovanju za industrijsku politiku. U novije vreme, industrijska politika se sve češće koristi kao odgovor na krize. Razvijene zemlje sveta su snažno intervenisale u svojim industrijama nakon svetske ekonomske krize 2008. godine, da bi to postalo mnogo intenzivnije nakon krize izazvane pandemijom COVID-19 (sa ciljem da ponovo pokrenu privredni rast). Konačno, industrijska politika je postala značajan instrument za industrijsku tranziciju prema zelenoj i digitalnoj ekonomiji. Cilj nove industrijske politike Srbije je da promoviše strukturne promene u industriji u korist proizvodnje roba i usluga sa većom dodatom vrednošću, modernizacijom i povećanjem uloge industrije. Nova industrijska politika postala je složenija sa novim ciljevima izvan konvencionalnog industrijskog razvoja i strukturnih promena, poput integracije i nadogradnje u globalne lance vrednosti, razvoj ekonomije zasnovane na znanju, izgradnju sektora vezanih za ciljeve održivog razvoja i konkurentno pozicioniranje za novu industrijsku revoluciju [12, p. 199]. U radu se analiziraju efekti državne pomoći u 72 uspešno realizovana investiciona projekta za privlačenje investicija u industriju Srbije od 2006. do 2016. godine. Za istraživanje ovog pitanja koriscena su cetiri bootstrap intervala poverenja: bootstrap-t interval, percentilni interval, BCa interval i ABC interval. Konstruisani intervali nam daju informaciju o oceni prosečnog broja novootvorenih radnih mesta i prosečnih investicija kod realizovanih projekata u periodu od 2006. do 2016. godine.
engleski
2024
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Creative Commons CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 - Creative Commons Autorstvo - Nekomercijalno - Bez prerada 4.0 International License.
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Ključne reči: industrijska politika, državni podsticaji, bootstrap metod, nova industrijska politika Srbije
Keywords: industrial policy, state incentives, bootstrap method, new industrial policy of Serbia