Digitalni repozitorijum
Univerziteta u Beogradu
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TENDENCIES AND PREDICTION OF GRAPE PRODUCTION CHARACTERISTICS IN SERBIA
Novković, Nebojša
Vukelić, Nataša
Paunović, Blagoje
Hubana, Armina
Drinić, Ljiljana
Abstract: The research in this paper deals with the main production characteristics of grape production in Serbia. Based on the quantitative analysis, the aim of the research was to determine the trends in the production characteristics of grapes, and to predict these movements for the following period. The production characteristicsof grapes(vineyard area, annual production and yield) were analysed for the period 2005-2019. The quantitative analysis was performed by using the methods of descriptive statistical analysis and the average annual rate of changes to determine the trends in the analyzed period and to predict the movements in the following period2020- 2024. The average vineyard area in the analyzed period in Serbia was 22,173 ha;the annual change rate of the vineyard area was -1.59%. The average annual production of grapes in Serbia was 174,976t;the annual change rate was 0.64%. The average yield of grapes was 7.88t/ha;the annual change rate of the grape yield was 2.32%. According to the forecast results,it is expectedthat the vineyard area in 2024 in Serbia will be 18,917 ha, the annual production will be 168,971 t, and the grape yield will amount to 8.97 t/ha.
engleski
2021
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Keywords: grape, production, prediction,vineyard area, grapeannual production, grape yield, Serbia.