Ekonomski šok pandemije COVID 19 : prekretnica u globalnim ekonomskim kretanjima
ABSTRACT: The paper analyzes the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on global economic trends, given that it can be considered an exogenous economic shock whose effects are present in most countries, as well as globally. The key economic consequence will be an economic recession whose trigger is unique in modern economic history because it relates to the outbreak of contagion rather than to some common economic or financial source of eco- nomic decline. The paper discusses the specificity of this recession, which is character- ized by both the shock of aggregate supply and the shock of aggregate demand, while economic policy measures and their effects are difficult to assess, similar to the intensity and duration of the recession, precisely because of the specific factors that caused the health crisis, and that is the spread of a new coronavirus whose behavior in the future cannot be anticipated.
APSTRAKT: Rad je posvećen analizi uticaja pandemije korona virusa na globalna ekonomska kretanja, s obzirom da se ona može smatrati egzogenim ekonomskim šokom čiji su efekti prisutni u većini zemalja, kao i na globanom nivou. Ključna ekonomska posledica biće ekonomska recesija čiji je okidač jedinstven u modernoj ekonomskoj istoriji jer se odnosi na pojavu zaraze, a ne na neki uobičajeni ekonomski ili finsansijski izvor ekonomskog pada. U radu se razmatra specifičnost te recesije koju istovremeno karakteriše i šok agregatne ponude i šok agregatne tražnje, dok se mere ekonomske politike i njihovi efekti teško mogu pro- ceniti, slično kao i intenzitet i dužina trajanja recesije, upravo zbog specifičnosti faktora koji je zdarvstvenu krizu izazvao, a to je širenje novog korona virusa čije se ponašanje u budućnosti ne može anticipirati.
srpski
2020
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KLJUČNE REČI: PANDEMIJA COVID-19, EKONOMSKI ŠOK, EKONOMSKA RECESIJA
KEYWORDS: COVID-19 PANDEMIC, ECONOMIC SHOCK, ECONOMIC RECESSION