Naslov (srp)

Svetska privreda, trgovina Evropske unije i robni izvoz Srbije pre pandemije koronavirusa (COVID-19)

Autor

Kovačević, Radovan

Opis (eng)

ABSTRACT: The global economic growth continued to slow in 2019. The forecasts of global economic growth and world trade growth have been revised downwards several times, with the slow- down in industrial production in some countries. This trend was intensified in the second half of 2019. The rise in protectionism around the world has slowed the growth of world trade, and the assumptions about worldwide economic downturn have become more fre- quent. Due to the complexity of global production networks, the globalization in the world economy has deepened. The paper shows that Serbia’s integration into global production networks has increased, which has had a positive effect on commodity exports. However, due to the high degree of globalization, recessionary impulses are transmitted quickly from one economy to another. The coronavirus pandemic has led to a halt in production in many countries, so it will adversely affect the economic growth and the world trade. It is uncertain today what will happen in the future and when this pandemic will pass, so that forecasts for world economy trends are of short-term nature and are subject to correction.

Opis (srp)

APSTRAKT: Rast svetske privrede je usporavao tokom 2019. godine. Prognoze globalnog privrednog rasta i rasta svetske trgovine su nekoliko puta revidirane na niže stope, a bilo je primet- no usporavanje industrijske proizvodnje u pojedinim zemljama. Ovaj trend je pojačan u drugoj polovini 2019. godine. Narastanje protekcionizma u svetskoj privredi usporilo je rast svetske trgovine, a slutnje o mogućoj recesiji globalnih razmera postale su sve učestalije. Zahvaljujući usložnjavanju globalnih proizvodnih mreža, produbljena je globa- lizacija svetske privrede. U radu se pokazuje da je rasla integrisanost Srbije u globalne proizvodne mreže, što je delovalo pozitivno na robni izvoz. Međutim, usled visokog ste- pena globalizacije, recesioni impulsi se brzo prenose iz jedne u drugu zemlju. Pandemija koronavirusa je dovela do zaustavljanja proizvodnje u mnogim zemljama, tako da će to nepovoljno da se odrazi na privredni rast i svetsku trgovinu. Danas je neizvesno šta će se događati u budućnosti, i kad će ova pandemija proći, tako da su i prognoze kretanja svetske privrede kratkoročne prirode i podložne su korekcijama.

Jezik

srpski

Datum

2020

Licenca

© All rights reserved

Predmet

KEYWORDS: MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS, ECONOMIC GROWTH, EUROPEAN UNION, EUROZONE, GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS (GVCs)

KLJUČNE REČI: IZVOZ I UVOZ ROBE, PRIVREDNI RAST, EVROPSKA UNIJA(EU), EVROZONA, GLOBALNI LANCI VREDNOSTI

Deo kolekcije (1)

o:28218

Ekonomski fakultet